ARKLATEX (KSLA) - Our best chance of rain this week will come Monday afternoon. The cold front that has dropped south into the ArkLaTex will be the focal point for scattered showers and storms Monday afternoon through Monday evening.
Places along and south of the front will have the best chance of rain. Places north of the front will likely stay dry.
The latest run of FutureTrack shows scattered showers and storms developing across parts of NW LA and deep E TX. The I-30 corridor, which includes Texarkana, will likely stay dry this afternoon.
As the front clears the ArkLaTex late Monday evening, it will take our good rain chances with it. FutureTrack shows most of the showers and thunderstorm activity will be east of the ArkLaTex by 10PM.
Even though the threat is very low, a strong to severe storm can't be ruled out Monday afternoon or evening. There is Marginal Risk of severe weather for places south of I-30 Monday afternoon. This does include Shreveport-Bossier, Marshall, TX, Magnolia AR, Ruston, LA and Natchitoches, LA. Keep in mind, a Marginal Risk is 1 out of 5, so widespread or significant severe weather is not expected. With the main energy of storm system staying to our north, the greatest threat of severe weather on Monday will be northeast of the ArkLaTex.
The strongest storms that develop this afternoon will be capable of strong to damaging wind gusts and, maybe, hail. Secondary concerns could be heavy rain and frequent lightning.
Not everyone is going to see rain or a strong storm Monday afternoon or evening.
This front is not going to be a big rain-maker for us and it's also not going to bring in a shot of cool air. However, it will knock our temperatures down a few degrees. Temperatures will be near or below average for the next several days. The heat will start to crank back up late this week and this weekend.
This front will also knock down our humidity levels. It's still going to be a touch humid through the middle of the work week, but it's going to take the edge off the heat. With the drier air in place, a overnight lows will be in the mid to upper 60s in spots some nights.
The KSLA First Alert Weather Team will continue to be your First Alert on the potential for strong storms Monday afternoon.
Here's how you can stay up to date with the latest forecast: