The Dallas Cowboys will meet the New England Patriots at AT&T Stadium on Sunday, October 1 at 4:25 PM ET. Our computer model projects the Cowboys will earn a victory -- see below for a full breakdown regarding the spread, over/under and final score.

The Cowboys have been a tough opponent for opposing teams, as they rank top-five in both scoring offense (fifth-best with 28.7 points per game) and scoring defense (third-best with 12.7 points allowed per game) this year. The Patriots have been excelling on the defensive side of the ball, surrendering only 270.3 total yards per game (fifth-best). Offensively, they rank 13th by putting up 342.7 total yards per game.

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Cowboys vs. Patriots Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Toss Up (Spread: Cowboys by 6.5) Under (43) Cowboys 23, Patriots 16

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Cowboys Betting Info

  • The Cowboys have an implied moneyline win probability of 73.3% in this contest.
  • Dallas has won two games against the spread this season.
  • The Cowboys have covered the spread once this season (1-1 ATS) when playing as at least 6.5-point favorites.
  • This season, games featuring the Cowboys have hit the over twice.
  • Cowboys games this season have posted an average total of 42.2, which is 0.8 points fewer than the total for this matchup.

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Patriots Betting Info

  • The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 30.8% chance of a victory for the Patriots.
  • New England has a record of 1-2-0 against the spread this season.
  • Games featuring New England have hit the over once this season.
  • Patriots games average 42.0 total points, 1.0 fewer than the total for this matchup.

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Cowboys vs. Patriots 2023 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Dallas 28.7 12.7 30 10 28 14
New England 17.3 19.7 18.5 24.5 15 10

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