Tropical Depression Cristobal remains over land near the Mexico/Guatemala border Thursday night. The tropical system is expected to emerge back over the Gulf by the weekend and track north toward the U.S. coast picking up strength as it does.
The latest forecast from the National Hurricane Center brings Cristobal back to tropical storm strength by Saturday morning as it moves back into the southern Gulf of Mexico.
Cristobal will gradually strengthen over the weekend and could be approaching the Gulf coast of Louisiana by the end of the day Sunday as a strong tropical storm with maximum sustained winds of 60mph, heavy rain and coastal flooding. There does remain a chance that it tracks as far west as near Houston or as far east as New Orleans.
The storm is forecast to weaken to a tropical depression as it moves inland toward the ArkLaTex on Monday. The precise path the center of the storm takes will play a critical role on the impacts we see out of it. A more western track would bring heavier rains, strong wind gusts and the possibility of tornadoes across the area. A more eastern track would significantly lessen the impacts here.
Right now it appears that some steadier and heavier rain will arrive during the day Monday. Rain will taper off during the day Tuesday as the remnants of Cristobal begin to pull away from the ArkLaTex.
Rain amounts will potentially vary from 1-4″ across the area based on the latest data with the heaviest rain most likely across north Louisiana.
The KSLA First Alert Weather Team will continue to track Cristobal and keep you updated on the potential impacts on the ArkLaTex. Here’s how you can get the First Alert with the latest forecast: