First Alert Weather Day Saturday: Severe storms possible

First Alert Weather Day Saturday: Severe storms possible
Widespread storm coverage Saturday afternoon

Today is a First Alert Weather Day for the ArkLaTex. Strong to severe storms are possible this afternoon and that threat may continue into the overnight for some parts of the ArkLaTex.

Much of the area has been placed under an ‘Enhanced’ risk of severe weather in the most recent outlook. An ‘Enhanced’ risk is a '3′ on a scale from 1 to 5.

'Enhanced' risk of severe weather for most of the ArkLaTex
'Enhanced' risk of severe weather for most of the ArkLaTex (Source: KSLA News 12)

Numerous severe storms with several occurrences of damaging wind, large hail and perhaps a few tornadoes are all possible.

Damaging wind, large hail and a few tornadoes are possible with storms on Saturday
Damaging wind, large hail and a few tornadoes are possible with storms on Saturday

Questions remain regarding overall evolution of storms during the day tomorrow and how that may impact the formation of additional storms Saturday night. One computer forecast model brings a solid line of storms into the ArkLaTex during the afternoon hours. That line sweeps east across the entire area by evening with only limited storm development later Saturday night across portions of NW Louisiana.

Forecast model #1

A second model weakens the first round of storms as it moves into the area with the greatest impacts occurring around the I-30 corridor and only isolated storms through the afternoon and evening hours elsewhere. Because of the limited activity during the afternoon/early evening the door is left open for another round of more widespread showers and storms developing toward midnight and pushing across the area through overnight hours. Additional severe weather would be possible with this nighttime activity.

Forecast model #2

The KSLA First Alert Weather Team will be closely monitoring the evolution of storms tomorrow and will give you the First Alert of the latest timing and impacts expected. Here’s how you can stay weather aware this weekend:

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