FIRST ALERT: Storms and threat of severe weather return this weekend

FIRST ALERT: Storms and threat of severe weather return this weekend
Rain and threat of severe weather return this weekend.

This stretch of SUN-sational weather is going to continue for the rest of the work week. Unfortunately, it’s not going to stick around for the upcoming weekend. Rain and storms and threat of severe will return late Saturday into Saturday night.

On Saturday, our next big weather maker or storm system accompanied by a dry line and cold front will impact the ArkLaTex. Rain and storms will start to increase late Saturday into Saturday night and continue into Sunday. There will be the potential for locally heavy rain and strong to severe storms this weekend.

Our next storm system will impact the ArkLaTex this weekend.
Our next storm system will impact the ArkLaTex this weekend. (Source: KSLA News 12)
Our next storm system will impact the ArkLaTex this weekend.
Our next storm system will impact the ArkLaTex this weekend. (Source: KSLA News 12)

Here’s a few snap shots of FutureTrack Saturday afternoon through Sunday morning. Most of Saturday is going to be dry. The better storm chances will remain just west of the ArkLaTex through Saturday afternoon. The rain and storms that develop Saturday afternoon just west of the ArkLaTex will move east and could start to impact
E TX and SE OK late Saturday. These showers and storms will continue to track east across the rest of the area Saturday night into Sunday morning. Keep in mind, this storm system is still several days away. The exact timing will likely change a little over the next couple of days.

FutureTrack Saturday 12PM
FutureTrack Saturday 12PM (Source: KSLA News 12)
FutureTrack Saturday 8PM
FutureTrack Saturday 8PM
FutureTrack Sunday 4AM
FutureTrack Sunday 4AM (Source: KSLA News 12)
FutureTrack Sunday 8AM
FutureTrack Sunday 8AM (Source: KSLA News 12)

There will be the potential for strong to severe storms Saturday through Saturday night. There is a low threat of severe weather for most of E TX and SE OK and portions of NW LA and SW AR on Saturday. The storms should weaken as they move from west to east across the area because the main energy associated with storm system will move to the northeast of the area and the amount of instability, or fuel, in the atmosphere should decrease. The threat of severe weather would likely be higher if the storms were coming through during the heat of the day. Even though rain and storms will linger, the threat of severe weather will diminish Sunday in Monday. Overall, the greatest threat of severe weather on Saturday will likely stay just west of the ArkLaTex.

Saturday's Severe Weather Outlook
Saturday's Severe Weather Outlook (Source: KSLA News 12)

The threat of widespread heavy rain looks low. However, locally heavy rainfall could lead to localized flooding. The European and American (GFS) models show widespread rainfall totals between 0.5-1.5″ and the heaviest rain falling across the I-30 corridor and points to the north. NW LA will likely see the least amount of rain this weekend.

Weekend Rainfall Totals (EURO)
Weekend Rainfall Totals (EURO) (Source: KSLA News 12)
Weekend Rainfall Totals (GFS)
Weekend Rainfall Totals (GFS) (Source: KSLA News 12)

With an upper-level ridge moving over the area, rain will likely stay very limited through the rest of work week. We’re definitely going to see more sunshine than rain.

An upper-level ridge will develop over the ArkLaTex by the end of the work week.
An upper-level ridge will develop over the ArkLaTex by the end of the work week. (Source: KSLA News 12)

This is a more typicaly summer-like weather pattern that will develop by the end of the week, so temperatures will continue to warm Thursday into Friday. Highs on Thursday and Friday will be in the mid to upper 80s. A few places could hit 90 degrees.

Temperature Trend
Temperature Trend (Source: KSLA News 12)

The KSLA First Alert Weather Team is your First Alert on the potential for rain and severe weather impacting your weekend. Here’s how you can stay up to date with the latest forecast:

Copyright 2019 KSLA. All rights reserved.