Monday is going to be the pick day of the work week! Unfortunately, this stretch of sunny, dry weather won’t be sticking around all week.
Tuesday will feature more clouds, but a few showers and storms can’t be ruled out late Tuesday into Tuesday night. Our best chance of rain this week will come late Wednesday through Thursday morning. A few showers could linger into Friday morning, but the rain should be gone by Friday afternoon. From this distance, the upcoming weekend looks sunny and dry.
On Tuesday, the best storm chances and the greatest threat of strong to severe storms will likely remain west of the ArkLaTex. However, there is the potential a few showers and storms could impact parts of E TX, especially near the I-30 corridor, late Tuesday into Tuesday night. The MARGINAL risk of severe weather could be expanded a little farther east in later severe weather outlooks, so a stronger storm can’t be ruled out.
Our rain and storm chances will increase Wednesday night into Thursday Morning. Widespread rain will likely develop as our next storm system and cold front impact the ArkLaTex. During this time, there will be the potential for heavy rain and strong storms.
Here’s a few snapshots of FutureTrack Wednesday afternoon through Thursday afternoon. Most of Wednesday is going to be dry. The best chance of rain and storms will likely stay to our southwest through Wednesday afternoon. The rain and storms will become more widespread from west to east Wednesday evening into Wednesday night. Widespread rain and storms will likely impact the ArkLaTex Wednesday night through Thursday morning. The commute to work Thursday morning could be sloppy, especially across NW LA and SW AR. The widespread rain will shift east of the area by Thursday afternoon. However, scattered showers could develop on the back side of this system Thursday afternoon.
Right now, most of the ArkLaTex is not included in Wednesday’s severe weather outlook. Keep in mind, this outlook also includes Wednesday night. The very southwestern corner of the ArkLaTex will be under a MARGINAL risk of severe weather Wednesday through Wednesday night. There is the potential this MARGINAL risk of severe weather could be expanded farther northeast to include more portions of E TX and NW LA in later outlooks. Overall, the greatest threat of severe weather on Wednesday and Wednesday night will likely stay to our southwest and south.
Despite most of the rain coming through overnight, there will still be the potential for strong to severe storms Wednesday night into Thursday morning. There will still be enough storm energy, or instability, in the atmosphere to support strong to severe storms, especially along and south of I-20.
Widespread rainfall totals Wednesday through Thursday will be between 1-3″ of rain. Locally heavy rainfall and flooding will be possible.
The KSLA First Alert Weather Team will continue to be your First Alert on the potential for heavy rain and strong storms Wednesday night into Thursday. Here’s how you can stay up to date with the latest forecast: