FIRST ALERT: Next round of rain and storms arrives late Wed - Thu

FIRST ALERT: Next round of rain and storms arrives late Wed - Thu
Our next storm system and cold front will impact the ArkLaTex late Wednesday through Thursday. (Source: KSLA News 12)

Monday is going to be the pick day of the work week! Unfortunately, this stretch of sunny, dry weather won’t be sticking around all week.

Tuesday will feature more clouds, but a few showers and storms can’t be ruled out late Tuesday into Tuesday night. Our best chance of rain this week will come late Wednesday through Thursday morning. A few showers could linger into Friday morning, but the rain should be gone by Friday afternoon. From this distance, the upcoming weekend looks sunny and dry.

Rain Chances
Rain Chances (Source: KSLA News 12)

On Tuesday, the best storm chances and the greatest threat of strong to severe storms will likely remain west of the ArkLaTex. However, there is the potential a few showers and storms could impact parts of E TX, especially near the I-30 corridor, late Tuesday into Tuesday night. The MARGINAL risk of severe weather could be expanded a little farther east in later severe weather outlooks, so a stronger storm can’t be ruled out.

Tuesday Severe Weather Outlook
Tuesday Severe Weather Outlook (Source: KSLA News 12)
FutureTrack Wednesday 12AM
FutureTrack Wednesday 12AM (Source: KSLA News 12)

Our rain and storm chances will increase Wednesday night into Thursday Morning. Widespread rain will likely develop as our next storm system and cold front impact the ArkLaTex. During this time, there will be the potential for heavy rain and strong storms.

Widespread rain and storms will develop as our next storm system and cold front impact the ArkLaTex late Wednesday through Thursday.
Widespread rain and storms will develop as our next storm system and cold front impact the ArkLaTex late Wednesday through Thursday. (Source: KSLA News 12)

Here’s a few snapshots of FutureTrack Wednesday afternoon through Thursday afternoon. Most of Wednesday is going to be dry. The best chance of rain and storms will likely stay to our southwest through Wednesday afternoon. The rain and storms will become more widespread from west to east Wednesday evening into Wednesday night. Widespread rain and storms will likely impact the ArkLaTex Wednesday night through Thursday morning. The commute to work Thursday morning could be sloppy, especially across NW LA and SW AR. The widespread rain will shift east of the area by Thursday afternoon. However, scattered showers could develop on the back side of this system Thursday afternoon.

FutureTrack Wednesday 4PM
FutureTrack Wednesday 4PM (Source: KSLA News 12)
FutureTrack Thursday 12AM
FutureTrack Thursday 12AM (Source: KSLA News 12)
FutureTrack Thursday 8AM
FutureTrack Thursday 8AM (Source: KSLA News 12)
FutureTrack Thursday 4PM
FutureTrack Thursday 4PM (Source: KSLA News 12)

Right now, most of the ArkLaTex is not included in Wednesday’s severe weather outlook. Keep in mind, this outlook also includes Wednesday night. The very southwestern corner of the ArkLaTex will be under a MARGINAL risk of severe weather Wednesday through Wednesday night. There is the potential this MARGINAL risk of severe weather could be expanded farther northeast to include more portions of E TX and NW LA in later outlooks. Overall, the greatest threat of severe weather on Wednesday and Wednesday night will likely stay to our southwest and south.

Wednesday's Severe Weather Outlook
Wednesday's Severe Weather Outlook (Source: KSLA News 12)

Despite most of the rain coming through overnight, there will still be the potential for strong to severe storms Wednesday night into Thursday morning. There will still be enough storm energy, or instability, in the atmosphere to support strong to severe storms, especially along and south of I-20.

Storm Energy Thursday 12AM
Storm Energy Thursday 12AM (Source: KSLA News 12)

Widespread rainfall totals Wednesday through Thursday will be between 1-3″ of rain. Locally heavy rainfall and flooding will be possible.

Rainfall Totals (EUR0)
Rainfall Totals (EUR0) (Source: KSLA News 12)
Rainfall Totals (GFS)
Rainfall Totals (GFS) (Source: KSLA News 12)

The KSLA First Alert Weather Team will continue to be your First Alert on the potential for heavy rain and strong storms Wednesday night into Thursday. Here’s how you can stay up to date with the latest forecast:

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