Severe weather remains possible as storms roll through the ArkLaTex during the late night hours, but the overall risk has been lowered across the area. Most of the area remains under a ‘Slight’ to ‘Marginal’ risk. The ‘Enhanced’ risk that covered portions of northeast Texas and southeast Oklahoma has been trimmed back to the west.
The primary hazard remains damaging straight-line wind gusts. While an isolated tornado spin-up can’t be ruled out as far east as Shreveport, the overall threat looks fairly low. The potential for seeing large hail (quarter-sized or bigger) has been removed for all but the far western edge of the area.
Isolated storm development is expected near and north of I-30 through around 1-2am. A low end severe risk will exist with these storms. A line of stronger storms will enter east Texas around 3am. This line will steadily push east during the late night hours into southwest Arkansas and northwest Louisiana, but should gradually weaken as it does. Storms may re-intensify over portions of northwest Louisiana toward midday on Thursday. Here’s an updated hour-by-hour look at the storms with Futuretrack:
Those late morning/early afternoon storms may pose a severe weather risk as they track out of the ArkLaTex on Thursday.
While the severe weather risk may be lowering, the potential for very heavy rain remains. Some places in the ArkLaTex could see in excess of 3-4″ of rain through Thursday afternoon.
A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for portions of the area into Thursday morning.
The KSLA First Alert Weather Team will continue to be your First Alert on the threat of at least isolated severe weather tonight through Thursday. Here’s how you can stay up to date with the latest forecast: