First Alert Weather Day: Slight risk of severe storms Thursday

FutureTrack Thursday 4PM
FutureTrack Thursday 4PM
Updated: Apr. 4, 2019 at 2:42 PM CDT
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The KSLA First Alert Weather Team has declared Thursday a First Alert Weather Day due to the potential for strong to severe thunderstorms.

The latest run of our HI-RES FUTURETRACK shows more storms developing across the area Thursday afternoon.

Even though scattered downpours and storms have already impacted the area this morning, there will still be the potential for strong to severe storms this afternoon. However, the threat of severe weather this afternoon will likely depend on how much the area can warm this afternoon.

The very latest severe weather outlook for Thursday still has all of NW LA and most of E TX along the TX-LA border under a SLIGHT risk of severe weather. This is the area that will be under the greatest risk of severe weather this afternoon. Widespread showers and storms are not expected this afternoon, so not everyone will see rain or severe weather. A MARGINAL risk of severe weather extends west and north of the SLIGHT risk of severe weather to cover more of E TX and almost all of SW AR.

Thursday's Severe Weather Outlook
Thursday's Severe Weather Outlook((Source: KSLA News 12))

Right now, it still looks like large hail and strong to damaging wind gusts will likely be the greatest threats with the strongest storms that develop. However, a tornado, or two, can’t be ruled out, mainly south of I-20. The greatest tornado threat today will likely remain south of the ArkLaTex.

Severe Weather Risks: Thursday
Severe Weather Risks: Thursday

The active weather pattern will continue into the weekend. More showers and storms will impact the ArkLaTex Saturday and Sunday. Rain could even linger into early next week.

Upcoming Rain Chances
Upcoming Rain Chances((Source: KSLA News 12))

A slow-moving storm system and cold front will impact the area this weekend. Multiple rounds of showers and storms will be possible this Saturday through Monday.

Multiple rounds of rain and storms will be possible this weekend.
Multiple rounds of rain and storms will be possible this weekend.((Source: KSLA News 12))

The ArkLaTex is already included in Saturday’s severe weather outlook. The entire area will be under a SLIGHT risk of severe weather on Saturday. Right now, it looks like all modes of severe weather will be possible on Saturday: large hail, damaging winds and tornadoes. However, it still too early know the exact timing and impacts of the strongest storms on Saturday.

Saturday's Severe Weather Outlook
Saturday's Severe Weather Outlook

With multiple rounds of rain and storms expected to impact the area heavy rainfall and flooding will be possible. Widespread rainfall totals this weekend will be between 1-3″ of rain. However, the latest run of FutureTrack shows some places could see up to 4″ of rain. Flash flooding will be possible where the heaviest rain and thunderstorms develop this weekend.

Rainfall Totals through Monday
Rainfall Totals through Monday((Source: KSLA News 12))

The KSLA First Alert Weather Team is your First Alert on the severe weather threat on Thursday and this weekend. Here’s how you can always get the very latest forecast updates:

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