said satellite images and surface observations from Mexico indicate the broad
area of low pressure is centered near the west coast of the Yucatan Peninsula.
system is expected to move over the Bay of Campeche and the southwestern Gulf
of Mexico during the next couple of days, where environmental conditions are
expected to be conducive for the formation of a tropical depression.
According to the National Hurricane Center, this system
has a 70 percent chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours
and an 80 percent chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next five
An Air Force
Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system later
Wednesday, if necessary.
disturbance will likely spread heavy rains over portions of eastern Mexico and
could cause life-threatening floods and mudslides over areas already impacted
by torrential rains during the past several days.